# Background On April 18, 2017, prime minister Theresa May announced that she was seeking a general election to be held on June 8. The day after, the MPs voted to dissolve Parliament and a new election is confirmed. It would be interesting to do some analysis of past election results on the 650 constituencies in to find out: + The most vulnerable seats from each party. + The seats targeted by each party. + Can the Brexit referendum result affect the outcome of this election in a particular region of the UK? + How a swing of x% from party A to party B affect the seat distribution? among many other relevant questions. # Dataset Contents This dataset consists of a mixture between two tables that were scrapped from Wikipedia. 1) 2015 general election results by constituency: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015_by_parliamentary_constituency 2) 2016 referendum result by constituency: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum,_2016#List_of_constituency_results This table used results estimated by Chris Hanretty in [1]. The tables were joined and cleaned. Some imputation errors were found and corrected. A couple of columns was created (or removed). The following set of columns was obtained: + Constituency: name of constituency + Region: region where the constituency is located + Con: Conservative party votes + Lab: Labour party votes + UKIP: UKIP votes + LD: Liberal Democrat votes + SNP: Scottish National Party votes + Grn: Green party votes + DUP: Democratic Unionist Party votes + PC: Plaid Cymru votes + SF: Sinn Fein votes + UUP: Ulster Unionist Party votes + SDLP: Social Democratic Labour Party votes + Alliance: Alliance party votes + Ind: Independent votes + Spk: Speaker votes + Others: Other parties votes + ValidVotes: sum of votes received by all parties + WinningParty: party that holds the seat + SecondPlace: party that finished in 2nd place + WinningVotes: number of votes received by the winning party + SecondPlaceVotes: number of votes received by the 2nd placed party + WinningPct: percentage of votes received by winner + Majority: WinningVotes - SecondPlaceVotes + MajorityPct: Majority as a percentage of ValidVotes + TurnoutPct2015: turnout in the last general election + RemainPct: percentage of Remain votes in 2016 referendum + LeavePct: percentage of Leave votes in 2016 referendum + LeaveMajority: LeavePct - RemainPct # Reference [1] https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/final-estimates-of-the-leave-vote-or-areal-interpolation-and-the-uks-referendum-on-eu-membership-5490b6cab878 # Disclaimer Cover picture is from Chensiyuan and made availabe under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International, 3.0 Unported, 2.5 Generic, 2.0 Generic and 1.0 Generic license. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:1_westminster_palace_panorama_2012_dusk.jpg