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README.md
Loan-Default-Prediction
L&T Financial Services & Analytics Vidhya presents ‘DataScience FinHack’. where I have predicted whether the customer will be defaulter in the first EMI payment using different algorithms from machine learning
Problem Statement Vehicle Loan Default Prediction Financial institutions incur significant losses due to the default of vehicle loans. This has led to the tightening up of vehicle loan underwriting and increased vehicle loan rejection rates. The need for a better credit risk scoring model is also raised by these institutions. This warrants a study to estimate the determinants of vehicle loan default. A financial institution has hired you to accurately predict the probability of loanee/borrower defaulting on a vehicle loan in the first EMI (Equated Monthly Instalments) on the due date. Following Information regarding the loan and loanee are provided in the datasets:
Loanee Information (Demographic data like age, income, Identity proof etc.) Loan Information (Disbursal details, amount, EMI, loan to value ratio etc.) Bureau data & history (Bureau score, number of active accounts, the status of other loans, credit history etc.) Doing so will ensure that clients capable of repayment are not rejected and important determinants can be identified which can be further used for minimising the default rates.
Data Description contains train.csv and train.csv contains the training data with details on loan as described in the data_dictionary contains a brief description on each variable provided in the training and test.csv contains details of all customers and loans for which the participants are to submit probability of default.
submission.csv contains the submission format for the predictions against the test set. A single csv needs to be submitted as a solution
Evaluation Metric Submissions are evaluated on area under the ROC curve between the predicted probability and the observed target.
DATA DICTIONARY:
Variable Name Description
UniqueID Identifier for customers
loan_default Payment default in the first EMI on due date
disbursed_amount Amount of Loan disbursed
asset_cost Cost of the Asset
ltv Loan to Value of the asset
branch_id Branch where the loan was disbursed
supplier_id Vehicle Dealer where the loan was disbursed
manufacturer_id Vehicle manufacturer(Hero, Honda, TVS etc.)
Current_pincode Current pincode of the customer
Date.of.Birth Date of birth of the customer
Employment.Type Employment Type of the customer (Salaried/Self Employed)
DisbursalDate Date of disbursement
State_ID State of disbursement
Employee_code_ID Employee of the organization who logged the disbursement
MobileNo_Avl_Flag if Mobile no. was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
Aadhar_flag if aadhar was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
PAN_flag if pan was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
VoterID_flag if voter was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
Driving_flag if DL was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
Passport_flag if passport was shared by the customer then flagged as 1
PERFORM_CNS.SCORE Bureau Score
PERFORM_CNS.SCORE.DESCRIPTION Bureau score description
PRI.NO.OF.ACCTS count of total loans taken by the customer at the time of disbursement Primary accounts are those which the customer has taken for his personal use
PRI.ACTIVE.ACCTS count of active loans taken by the customer at the time of disbursement
PRI.OVERDUE.ACCTS count of default accounts at the time of disbursement
PRI.CURRENT.BALANCE total Principal outstanding amount of the active loans at the time of disbursement
PRI.SANCTIONED.AMOUNT total amount that was sanctioned for all the loans at the time of disbursement
PRI.DISBURSED.AMOUNT total amount that was disbursed for all the loans at the time of disbursement
SEC.NO.OF.ACCTS count of total loans taken by the customer at the time of disbursement Secondary accounts are those which the customer act as a co-applicant or gaurantor
SEC.ACTIVE.ACCTS count of active loans taken by the customer at the time of disbursement
SEC.OVERDUE.ACCTS count of default accounts at the time of disbursement
SEC.CURRENT.BALANCE total Principal outstanding amount of the active loans at the time of disbursement
SEC.SANCTIONED.AMOUNT total amount that was sanctioned for all the loans at the time of disbursement
SEC.DISBURSED.AMOUNT total amount that was disbursed for all the loans at the time of disbursement
PRIMARY.INSTAL.AMT EMI Amount of the primary loan
SEC.INSTAL.AMT EMI Amount of the secondary loan
NEW.ACCTS.IN.LAST.SIX.MONTHS New loans taken by the customer in last 6 months before the disbursment
DELINQUENT.ACCTS.IN.LAST.SIX.MONTHS Loans defaulted in the last 6 months
AVERAGE.ACCT.AGE Average loan tenure
CREDIT.HISTORY.LENGTH Time since first loan
NO.OF_INQUIRIES Enquries done by the customer for loans
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